|
Mr. East |
|
|---|---|---|
| Get my NFL & NCAAF combo as this is going to be a huge year! Now on sale for 999.00 don't delay offer will expire without notice |
| Published Hot Streaks |
|---|
|
• NBA Overall Plays (+324) 133-119 L252 53% • NCAA-B Top Plays (+300) 3-0 L3 100% • Basketball Top Plays (+280) 5-2 L7 71% |
| ALL SPORTS SUBSCRIPTIONS | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| NFL SUBSCRIPTIONS | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| BASEBALL SUBSCRIPTIONS | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| NBA SUBSCRIPTIONS | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| COLLEGE FOOTBALL SUBSCRIPTIONS | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| NFL + COLLEGE FOOTBALL SUBSCRIPTIONS | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| NBA + COLLEGE BASKETBALL SUBSCRIPTIONS | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| SHORT STATS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 days | Units | ROI | Pct | WL |
| Moneyline Picks | +300.0 units | +64.1% | 100% | 3-0 |
| O/U Picks | +5.0 units | +0.1% | 51% | 19-18 |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
|---|---|---|
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
|
MLB | Sep 06, 2010 Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees |
New York Yankees -1½-110 at JAMAICA |
Lost $110.0 |
|
Matusz has pitched very well lately, while Burnett has spotted a few good games, it seems his confidence is low right now, and when things start going bad, they become horrible. Matusz vs NY Yankee hitters: This year he is 0-3 but with a 2.41 ERA. Sometimes in short numbers like this, I like to look inside the numbers to see if they validate. There are 2.41 ERA's that are outstanding over just 3 games, or their are 2.41 ERA's that offer a lot of question marks, this one offers a lot of question marks, as he was fortunate enough to give up hits at the right time, as the Yankess got 21 in 17 innings, not 2.41 ERA type stats. Cano,Cervelli,Jeter,Teixiera, and Thames who all will likely start Monday, because Girardi won't catch Posada in back to back day games, and Cervelli's numbers against Matusz are too goo to sit him 4-8 triple). Thames is on fire and will be in the lineup somewhere with his .412 career avg vs Matusz. These 5 key Yankees are 22-54 vs Matusz or .407, again not condusive to a 2.41 ERA. Burnett has a long career of success vs Baltimore, at 11-3, and no different this year at 2-1 with a 1.64 ERA. Let's see if his ERA is validated by numbers, or is it suspect? Izturis 3-23, A Jones 8-33, Lugo 3-17, Markakais 13-44, Paterson 2-21, Scott 7-23, Wieters 0-12, and Wiggington 7-32. Those 8 combine for a 43-207 mark vs Burnett for a .208 career average, condusive to translating to a 1.64 ERA. ORIOLES ON THE ROAD: never a good road team, they are scoring just 3.6 a game on the road this year. They are also 35-58 vs righthand pitching, and 45-75 as a dog in all games. They have always struggled in the rugged AL East at 13-40 this year. That breaks down as 9-20 at home, and 4-20 on the road. They are 4-27 vs the AL East in their last 31 on the road. They are 9-47 since the start of last year, and 17-76 since 2008. YANKEES AT HOME: 48-22 this season, 29-8 vs teams with losing records. BALTIMORE AT NEW YORK: The Yankees are 16-2 vs Baltimore in the last 18 meetings in NY. The Yankees have outscored them 105-55 in the 18 games. That is an average of 2.78 runs a game. The Yankees in the last 16 meetings are 13-3 to a -1.5 runline at home vs Baltimore. BALT @ +200 or higher: Baltimore is 4-16 this year in this situation, and 15-63 since 2004, winning just 19.2% of the time, when they need to win 33% of the time to break even, so they have played way below the line in this spot. Look at it this way, if they were +400 in all 78 games they would have lost you money! The Yankees are 33-9 as a -200+ favorite, and consider this, they have won 50 games by 4 runs or more on the season. They are also 34-15 in day games this season. Baltimore is 13-23. The Yankees are also 62-21 at -200+ since the beginning of last year BULLPEN: Yankee pen is red-hot Rivera has allowed 3 runs since May 25th, Logan 0 runs since July 18th, Robertson 3 runs since July 2nd, Wood 0 runs since August 3. Their top 4 bullpen pitchers have allowed a total of 6 runs in the last 1-2 months, incredible! Baltimore last 7 days the pen is at 4.58. Baltimore is 86-154 as a dog in their last 249. Yankees 89-32 in their last 121 at home. Most think the way to beat the Yankees is with lefthand pitching, but they are better than they are vs righthanders, leading the league vs lefties at 5.4 runs a game and they are 51-25 in their last 76 vs a lefthander. FINAL THOUGHTS: The numbers are overwhelming in favor of the Yankees, but that is to be expected. The next question, is the line a fair one based on what we have before us? My answer is no. There are so many numbers that dictate this game is not a 2-1 odds type of game, more like a 4-1 odds type game, and the runline numbers show the same range of value, so Yankees on the runline MLB GAME OF THE MONTH |
||
|
NCAA-F | Sep 06, 2010 Maryland vs. Navy |
Maryland +6½-105 at BODOG |
Won $100 |
| The Naval Academy has had 6 straight winning seasons, and have played vs BCS Conference teams 24 times. They have a losing straight up record at 11-13. It is difficult to see them in the opener here on the road as nearly a TD favorite. This team lost more than half their defense to graduation. Maryland has done little out of the conference covering just 4 of their last 19 regular season games. This team has shown the ability to bounce back off a bad season as they have only had 1 time in the past decade where they missed going to a Bowl 2 years in a row. The terps did lose 10 last year, but 5 of them were by an average margin of 3.4 points per game, and 4 of the last 5 were by 7 or less to teams better than Navy. I'll go with Maryland on this one. | ||
|
SERVICE BIO |
|---|
| My Handicapping and Betting Philosophy There are a vast array of handicapping styles, and some adhere to part of them, but I adhere to all of them. I utilize countless systems I have developed over the years, along with emotional, situational, and motivational factors. The one thing I have been able to do with tremendous accuracy is make my own pointspreads. I make them before the next day's game, so I am not influenced by what happened in one game. I am able to spot line value, and exploit it with success. The one thing I don't do is waste selections, for the sake of having one. The only games I will ever put out, are those that I have handicapped countless different ways, and are deemed to create a high likelihood of beating the pointspread. The fact you read this, is its own compliment, and I know you have many choices. Thanks for allowing me to show you a winning approach. I'd be glad to assist you in anyway I can, and look forward to showing you my commitment, and dedication, for something I not only do for a living, but with passion, and success! Best wishes on a profitable year in the world of sports! My Handicapping Experience 25 years My Special Achievments in Handicapping My love of sports and crunching numbers, has allowed me to be able to consistently have a winning percentage of over 55%. I've exceeded +100 units in a season in all sports from NCAA Bowl games, NBA playoffs, college basketball, major league baseball, and NFL football. |