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Ben Burns |
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| 2010 Labor Day Main Event goes Early(won by 26 LY). |
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| SHORT STATS | ||||
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| Last 60 days | Units | ROI | Pct | WL |
| Top Play Picks | +126.0 units | +1.3% | 57% | 41-31 |
| Moneyline Picks | +58.0 units | +0.4% | 59% | 58-41 |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-F | Sep 06, 2010 Boise State Broncos vs. Virginia Tech Hokies |
Total 51½ un-110 at BETUS |
Lost $110.0 |
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I'm playing on Boise State and Virginia Tech to finish UNDER the total. I successfully played on the Broncos to finish 'under' the total in their opening game last season. Facing a powerful Oregon team, Boise allowed a mere eight points. The following week, they allowed 0. This year's team returns 10 defensive starters and figures to be very tough on that side of the ball. Note that getting off to a strong defensive start is nothing new for this team. Including last year's 19-8 win over the Ducks, Boise has allowed a mere 22 combined points in its last four season openers. Including last year's win over the Ducks, the Broncos have seen the UNDER go 13-7 their last 20 September games, which had a total. They allowed 17 points per game, last year. In addition to having a powerful defense, the Broncos will also have a potent offense. They return 10 starters, including star QB Kellen Moore, from a unit which averaged 42.2 points last year. That said, in "big games," which are expected to be "close," they tend to play lower-scoring games. In fact, the UNDER is a profitable 8-1 the last nine Boise games, with a total, when the line ranged from -3 to +3. To a certain extent, that's also been the case for the Hokies. Virginia Tech has seen the UNDER go 16-9 the last 25 times that they played a game where the line ranged from -3 to +3. Virginia Tech almost has always has a tough defense. Last season, the Hokies allowed a mere 15.6 points per game, giving up only 295.5 yards of total offense. That's nothing new. Looking at the previous six years and we find that the Hokies allowed averages of 16.7, 16.1, 11, 12.9 and 12.8 points per game. This year's defense did suffer some big offseason losses. They've still got plenty of talent on that side of the ball though and Beamer always seems to get the most out of it. On offense, the Hokies run the ball regularly, which helps to keep the clock moving. With this game being played at Fed Ex Field, note that the Hokies have seen the UNDER go 15-7 their last 22 lined games on grass. Also, note that the UNDER is 3-1 the last four times that the Hokies played on a "neutral," field, when the total ranged from 49.5 to 52. I expect a hard-hitting affair with the final combined score again staying below the generous number. *8 |
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MLB | Sep 06, 2010 Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays |
Total 8½ un-105 at SPBOOK |
Lost $105.0 |
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I'm playing on Texas and Toronto to finish UNDER the total. As noted in my play on the Jays, Romero has been very stingy here at Toronto. He's 5-3 with a 2.78 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 11 starts here. He's averaged greater than seven innings in those starts and has 73 K's to just 27 walks. Seven of his 11 starts here have finished with eight or fewer combined runs. As also noted in my play on the Jays, Romero has dominated the Rangers. He's got an 0.81 ERA in his three starts against them. Not surprisingly, all three of those games stayed below the total. They had scores of 6-0, 3-1 and 1-0. It should also be noted that Romero has a 2.62 ERA during the day. While Hunter has admittedly been somewhat mediocre on the road, note that he has a stellar 2.12 ERA during the day. Opposing hitters are batting a mere 1.61 ERA off him in his two daytime starts. The Rangers, who will be without their best hitter, have seen the UNDER go 25-16 against left-handed pitchers this season and 87-58 (excluding pushes) the past few seasons. I expect those numbers to improve here. *7 |
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MLB | Sep 06, 2010 Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays |
Toronto Blue Jays -136 at SPBOOK |
Won $100 |
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I'm playing on TORONTO. The Jays got back on track with a big win over the Yankees yesterday. Returning home to Toronto, to face a suddenly struggling Texas team, I expect the Jays to have the advantage again this afternoon. Romero gets the call and he's been tough here all season. He's 5-3 with a stellar 2.78 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 11 starts here. He's averaged greater than seven innings in those starts and has 73 K's to just 27 walks. Note that Romero has an outstanding 0.81 ERA in three starts vs. the Rangers. His lone home start vs. Texas resulted in a 6-0 victory. Romero went the distance, allowed only five hits, and had 12 K's with only 1 walk. Hunter, on the other hand, has a 7.50 ERA in two starts vs. the Jays. While Hunter does boast an impressive record, his road stats aren't nearly as good as Romero's home stats. He's got a 4.29 ERA and 1.405 WHIP on the road with 18 K's and 17 walks. Note that Hunter won't have Joey Hamilton's bat to support him. The AL batting leader is out with an injury. The Jays have dominated the Rangers here. They're 5-1 the last six meetings here and 10-3 the last 13. With another quality effort from Romero, I expect them to pad those stats here. *9 |
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MLB | Sep 06, 2010 Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers |
Detroit Tigers -118 at SPBOOK |
Lost $118.0 |
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I'm playing on DETROIT. The Tigers know that they have very little hope of making the playoffs. Indeed, we're already a week into September and they're 12 games back of the Twins. However, they're still mathematically alive and their chances would improve (if only slightly) if they somehow managed a sweep here. At the least, and more realistically, they could do some "spoiling" and damage Chicago's chances. (The Sox are currently second in the division, 3.5 back of the Twins.) Playing at home and with a red hot pitcher on the mound, I expect the Tigers to have the advantage this afternoon. While the Sox have the better overall record, the Tigers' home record is better than Chicago's road record. The Sox are a solid 38-33 on the road. However, the Tigers are a terrific 43-25 at home, including 5-1 their last six here. Scherzer has been outstanding of late, having gone 3-1 with a superb 1.25 ERA in his last seven starts. That includes a 1.12 ERA (0.75 WHIP!) his last three. During that stretch, he has an impressive 25 K's to just four walks. Manager Jim Leyland said this of Scherzer: "He's got a tremendous mound presence right now. He's one of the better pitchers in the league." Scherzer has a 2.78 ERA at home for the season and a 2.62 ERA during the day. To his credit, Jackson has also pitched very well recently. Jackson, a former Tiger, has also pitched very well vs. Detroit. That said, his team is still 5-8 in his last 13 road starts and this is also the third time that the Tigers will have seen him since 8/4. (The Sox will be facing Scherzer for the second time) which should favor the Detroit hitters. Also, note that Jackson has a poor 4.91 ERA in five daytime starts. Opposing batters are hitting .325 in those games with Jackson allowing 55 baserunners in 33 innings, a 1.67 WHIP. While the Sox are rolling, all things considered, I feel the price on the Tigers is very fair.*9 |
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NCAA-F | Sep 06, 2010 Maryland vs. Navy |
Total 49 un-110 at SIA |
Won $100 |
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I'm playing on Navy and Maryland to finish UNDER the total. Navy is coming off another quality season, finishing with 10 victories. The Midshipmen should be solid again this year. With their success in recent seasons, many have started to think of the Midshipmen as a high-scoring team. That's not exactly the case though. True, they averaged a respectable 28 points last season. However, the 19.4 points allowed per game was arguably more impressive. For the season, the 2009 Midshipmen saw the UNDER go 8-5. They've averaged less than 29 ppg in three of the past four seasons. Of course, running the ball so frequently helps to keep the clock moving. Maryland was poor on both sides of the ball last season. The Terps averaged only 21 points and allowed 31. With linebacker Alex Wujciak returning, the defense figures to be improved. Wujciak averaged nearly 11 tackles a game last season and earned All-ACC First-Team honors. Also, keep in mind that the Terps are normally quite stout defensively. Prior to last season, they'd allowed 22.5, 21.5, 21.8, 25, 20 and 15.8 the previous six seasons. In other words, last season was the exception, rather than the norm. The Terps, which saw the UNDER go 8-5 overall last season, have long been a profitable 'under' team, when playing in the underdog role and that's continued to the case the past couple of seasons. During that stretch, they've seen the UNDER go 11-6 when getting points. Navy has seen the UNDER go 5-3 in September the past two seasons. During that span, the Midshipmen have also seen the UNDER go 4-1 when playing on a "neutral" field. The last meeting between these teams produced 43 points. That game had an O/U line of 43, so the final score landed right on the number. This afternoon, we're getting several more points to work with and I feel that provides us with excellent value. *9 |
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SERVICE BIO |
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| Ben Burns burst onto the sports betting scene in the 1990s, first making his selections available to the public in 1998. Now entering his tenth year, Ben has become one of the most successful and well-respected handicappers on the entire Internet. From 1998 to 2006, Ben had his selections documented by the Big Guy Sports Monitor. During that time, he accumulated numerous seasonal titles in all the major sports. In fact, competing against a field of 150, Ben's NFL selections still rank as #1 of all-time there. With such a commanding lead over the field, it is highly unlikely that his all-time NFL record there will ever be matched. Like all handicappers, Ben goes through both hot and cold streaks. However, whether winning or losing, he always "tells it like it is." Perhaps more importantly, as his many fans are quick to point out, Ben's winning weeks tend to greatly outnumber his losing ones. Note that Ben followed up an extremely strong 2006 with an even better campaign in 2007! Ben is known as a "Totals Expert" and his over/under plays are highly sought after in all sports. In addition to his "total" success, Ben's "sides" are also known for their sizzling hot streaks. While he advocates playing all his selections equally, Ben's knack for nailing his "Big" plays is truly remarkable. Ben capped off a highly successful college football season by winning his Bowl Game of the Year, a 41-10 wire-to-wire destruction on Georgia over Hawaii. Ben's NFL playoffs didn't go as well though and he lost his first ever Super Bowl selection, when the Patriots were upset by the Giants. Despite that rare setback, Ben's Super Bowl record remains at 10-1 for his career. Additionally, his NFL playoff picks remain a powerful 47-22 (68%) ATS the past six years. Ben isn't just a football expert though, as his hockey, baseball AND basketball picks are also highly respected. Ben logs extremely long hours. His hard work clearly shows itself in his high quality writeups and extraordinary long-term records. If you're looking for an honest, hard-working handicapper with a documented history of success, give Ben Burns a try. We're sure that you'll be impressed! |